The Forecaster’s Dilemma: Evaluating forecasts of extreme events

Accurate predictions of extreme events do not necessarily indicate the scientific superiority of the forecaster or the forecast method from which they originate. The way forecast evaluation is conducted in the media can thus pose a dilemma. When it comes to extreme events, public discussion of forecasts often focuses on predictive performance. After the international…

New species discovered: Protist parasites contribute to the stability of rainforest ecosystems

Tropical rainforests are one of the most species-rich areas on earth. Thousands of animal and plant species live there. The smaller microbial protists, which are not visible to the naked eye, are also native to these forests, where they live in the soils and elsewhere. An international team of scientists, among them three HITS researchers,…