The Computational Statistics group at HITS was established in November 2013, when Tilmann Gneiting was appointed group leader and Professor of Computational Statistics at the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT).
The current focus of the group’s research is on probabilistic forecasting and classification. As the future is uncertain, forecasts should be probabilistic in nature, i.e., they should take the form of probability distributions over future quantities or events. Accordingly, we are witnessing a transdisciplinary change of paradigms from deterministic or point forecasts to probabilistic forecasts. The CST group seeks to provide guidance and leadership in this transition, by developing both the theoretical foundations of the science of forecasting, and cutting-edge statistical methodology, along with applications. Weather forecasting is a key example. In this context, the group participates in the Transregional Collaborative Research Center Waves to Weather and maintains research contacts and collaborative relations with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.